Tuesday, 22 December 2015

What awaits Russia’s economy in 2016 – collapse or recovery? – Johnson's Russia List

What awaits Russia’s economy in 2016 – collapse or recovery? – Johnson's Russia List



Analysts have reacted to the latest collapse of oil prices with varying forecasts. Some believe oil prices are on their way down to the critical level of $35, which would keep the Russian economy in recession. Others, however, including Western analysts, are of the opinion that 2016 may see the first shoots of recovery.

(Russia Beyond the Headlines – rbth.ru – ANNA KUCHMA, RBTH – December 18, 2015)
I recall reading one of those pithy notes of wisdom you get on a desk calendar which said something along the lines of: Remember when you dreamed of earning the salary that you can't live on today
Back in the early 2000's, when oil prices had been languishing around the $10 per barrel mark, they suddenly began their upwards trajectory which would continue for more than a decade.  In 2003, they had reached the $30 per barrel mark, which was considered by analysts at the time to be a massive windfall for the Russian economy.

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